CDC urges masking in Michigan county this week

Michigan’s four-week streak without a county at a high COVID-19 community level is over.

Dickinson County in the Upper Peninsula is at a high community level this week, according to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention map for Thursday, November 10.

The CDC uses community levels to determine COVID risk, placing counties in one of three buckets: low (green), medium (yellow), or high (orange).

The CDC recommends masking indoors in public when counties are at a high community level, regardless of vaccination status. However, people with symptoms, a positive test, or exposure to someone with COVID-19 should wear a mask regardless of where they live, according to the CDC.

Here is the latest map showing the community level for each county in Michigan. Tap or hover over a county to see details.

(Can’t see the map? Click here.)

Michigan has 44 counties at a low level and 38 counties at a medium level. Michigan last week had 55 counties at a low and 28 at an average.

The CDC considers cases and hospitalizations when determining the risk of COVID for an area. The aim is to prevent serious illnesses and limit the pressure on hospitals.

For community levels, the CDC looks at three factors for each county: the percentage of staffed hospital beds occupied by COVID patients, COVID hospital admissions per capita, and COVID cases per capita.

A county is at a high level when there are 200 or more new cases per 100,000 in the past week and either (A) more than 10 new COVID-19 hospital admissions per 100,000 or (B) when at least 10% of inpatient beds are occupied by COVID patients.

If hospitalizations are particularly high, even a county with low cases may be high, according to the CDC’s formula.

(Not all counties have hospitals, so each is assigned a health service area, a geographic region that contains at least one hospital. Counties receive the calculated metrics for the entire area, weighted by each county’s population (Example: Monroe The County Health Services area also includes the Toledo, Ohio area.)

Here’s more county-level COVID data for Michigan from the past week.

Michigan reports 1,138 new confirmed cases per day over the past week

Reported COVID cases are down 14.0% this week, with Michigan averaging 1,138 new cases per day this week. This is the lowest rating since April 13.

Michigan also reported 289 “probable” cases of COVID per day this week.

Cases are “confirmed” when there is a positive NAAT/RT-PCR test result. Cases are ‘probable’ when there is a reported (rapid) antigen test or someone has symptoms and has been exposed to someone with COVID-19.

All charts in this story except the first (which uses CDC case calculations) are based on “confirmed” numbers only.

The Michigan Department of Health and Human Services reports COVID cases once a week. The department announced 9,992 confirmed and probable cases this week.

Michigan has reported more than 2.5 million confirmed COVID cases and more than 400,000 probable cases since the pandemic began.

The chart below shows the seven-day average of new confirmed COVID cases throughout the pandemic.

(Can’t see the board? Click here.)

Michigan ranks 13th in the United States for new cases per capita

Michigan has the 13th highest number of COVID cases per capita in the United States over the past week, according to The New York Times.

The states with the highest COVID rates this week were New Mexico, New York, New Jersey, North Dakota and Rhode Island. The states with the lowest COVID rates were Georgia, Texas, Mississippi, Louisiana and Alaska.

Michigan was 10th this week for most COVID hospitalizations per capita and fourth for most COVID deaths per capita.

28 counties have seen the number of cases increase in the past seven days

Of Michigan’s 83 counties, 28 had more COVID cases this week than last week.

Of the state’s largest counties, only Washtenaw County had more cases this week than last week (up 10%). Many others were down 17% or more, including Wayne, Oakland, Macomb, Genesee, Ingham and Kalamazoo counties.

Consult the database below to search/sort case totals by county. The graph also shows the percentage change from week to week and the seven-day average of cases per capita.

(Don’t see the database? Click here.)

10 Michigan counties most at risk for cases

There are 10 counties at the highest risk level (Level E) for cases, up from 15 counties last week.

The MDHHS has five levels of risk for COVID cases:

  • Level A: 7 to 19 cases per day per million inhabitants
  • Level B: 20 ​​to 39 cases per day per million
  • Level C: 40 to 69 cases per day per million
  • Level D: 70-149 cases per day per million
  • Level E: 150+ cases per day per million

The Upper Peninsula tops the list this week for the highest COVID rates, led by Baraga, Dickinson, Ontonagon, Gogebic, Menominee and Iron counties.

The lowest COVID rates this week were in Keweenaw, Chippewa, Emmet, Grand Traverse and Alpena counties.

The map below is shaded by the state’s six risk assessment levels from A to E. This is based on new cases reported per day and per million people from November 2-8.

Arrows on each county indicate whether new cases this week were up or down from the previous week. Place your cursor over a county to see the underlying data. (Tip: drag the map with your cursor to see the whole UP)

(Can’t see the map? Click here.)

The total number of COVID cases does not tell the whole story. Home tests are not reported, so they are not included in the data. This is why it is also essential to examine the percentage of positivity of the tests reported and the data on hospitalizations and deaths.

The average test positivity is 10%

Not only are cases declining, but so are positivity rates — a good sign. As of Tuesday, Nov. 8, about 10% of reported COVID tests in Michigan came back positive.

This is the lowest rating since June. The positivity rate hovered between 10% and 14% last week.

The World Health Organization considers substantial-level community transmission when positivity rates are above 5%.

Michigan’s rate peaked at 35% in January. It fell as low as 2% in early March before rising again.

The chart below shows the percentage of reported COVID-19 tests that came back positive throughout the pandemic.

(Can’t see the board? Click here.)

The positivity rate was highest this week in Algiers, Oscoda, Shiawassee, Leelanau and Manistee counties.

It was lowest in Chippewa, Keweenaw, Mecosta, Cheboygan and Emmet counties.

To see the COVID test positivity rate for your county, see the searchable table below.

(Don’t see the database? Click here.)

The interactive map below shows the seven-day average testing rate by county. Place your cursor over a county to see details.

(Can’t see the map? Click here.)

Hospitals treating 1,121 adult patients with confirmed or suspected COVID-19

Adult hospitalizations for COVID fell 7.2% this week to 1,121, as of Wednesday, November 9. Last week’s 1,208 adults in hospital with COVID was the highest since February.

Of the 1,121, 143 were in intensive care and 66 were on a ventilator.

Michigan also had 32 children hospitalized with confirmed/suspected COVID as of Wednesday.

Michigan reports 20 new COVID deaths per day over the past week

COVID deaths have increased slightly this week, with an average of 20 people dying from COVID per day in Michigan. The state averaged 17 a day last week.

Deaths have hovered between 16 and 21 a day for the past two months.

During omicron’s peak in January, Michigan averaged more than 100 COVID deaths per day.

Michigan has had 35,984 confirmed COVID-19 deaths and 3,590 probable COVID deaths since the pandemic began. In other words, about one in every 279 Michigan residents has died of confirmed COVID.

Below is a graph illustrating the seven-day average of reported deaths throughout the pandemic.

(Can’t see the board? Click here.)

Vaccinations: 63.7% of residents received at least one dose

About 63.7% of Michigan residents have received at least one COVID vaccine, 58.9% have received the full original regimen and 35.4% have been boosted.

The omicron-specific COVID-19 booster is now available in Michigan from Pfizer and Moderna.

Below is a vaccination breakdown by age group of Michiganders who have received at least one vaccine (initiated) and those who are “completed”, i.e. two mRNA vaccines or one Johnson vaccine & Johnson, to Wednesday, November 9.

  • 75 years and over: 87.3% insiders; 82.2% complete
  • 65 to 74: 90.6% initiates; 86.3% complete
  • 50 to 64: 77.0% initiates; 72.6% complete
  • 40 to 49: 67.8% initiated; 62.9% complete
  • 30 to 39: 66.1% initiated; 60.1% complete
  • 20 to 29: 55.9% initiated; 49.8% complete
  • 16 to 19: 56.9% initiates; 52.0% complete
  • 12 to 15: 50.0% insiders; 46.4% complete
  • 5 to 11: 30.7% initiates; 27.9% complete
  • Less than 5 years: 8.0% initiated, 3.6% completed

For more statewide data, visit MLive’s coronavirus data page.

To find a testing site near you, visit the state’s online test search, email [email protected], or call 888-535-6136 between 8 a.m. and 5 p.m. weekdays. .

If you have questions about COVID-19, please submit them to [email protected] to consider for future MLive reports.

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