Michigan County Coronavirus Data Tuesday February 16: MDHHS Shifts Most of State to Lower Risk Level


Five of Michigan’s eight MI Start regions ultimately fell to a lower risk level after three months at the highest level the state uses to assess coronavirus risk.

The Detroit, Grand Rapids, Saginaw, Traverse City, and Upper Peninsula areas have been downgraded from Level E to Level D. This leaves the Lansing, Jackson, and Kalamazoo areas still at Level E.

In assigning risk scores, the Michigan Department of Health and Human Services examines factors such as new cases and deaths per capita, test positivity rates, number of tests administered, and visits to medical services. emergency for COVID-19 symptoms.

The scale used by the MDHHS has six levels: “low” plus the AE levels. As of November 4, all eight MI Start regions in Michigan were at level E.

(State MI Start Districts: Region 1 is Region Detroit; Region 2 is Grand Rapids; Region 3, Kalamazoo; Region 4, Saginaw; Region 5, Lansing; Region 6, Traverse City; Region 7, Jackson, and Region 8, the Upper Peninsula.)

It’s yet another sign of improving coronavirus numbers in Michigan.

The statewide seven-day average positivity rate is now 3.4% from 4.1% a week ago. Meanwhile, the seven-day average of daily new cases is now 867 new cases per day, down 27% from an average of 1,159 a week ago.

Below is a more in-depth look at the county-level data, based on two of the metrics used by the MDHHS.

First, a look at the seven-day average positivity rates by county, grouped by state metric.

  • Level E (more than 20%): none
  • Level D (15-20%): none.
  • Level C (10-15%): Gogebic, Ionia and Hillsdale.
  • Level B (7-10%): seven counties, from highest to lowest: Wexford, Luce, Huron, Missaukee, Ontonagon, Tuscola and Mecosta.
  • Level A (3-7%): 42 counties, highest to lowest – Roscommon, Newaygo, Cass, Shiawassee, Kalkaska, Van Buren, Lenawee, Ingham, Alcona, Lapeer, Presque Isle, Berrien, Eaton, Monroe, Calhoun, Kent, Muskegon, Ottawa, Livingston, Allegan, Branche, Saginaw, Osceola, Grand Traverse, Macomb, Wayne, Jackson, Clinton, Sanilac, Oceana, Clare, St Joseph, Montcalm, Kalamazoo, St Clair, Emmet, Bay, Gladwin , Isabella, Barry, Oakland and Algiers.
  • Low (less than 3%): 31 counties, highest to lowest – Genesee, Oscoda, Arenac, Crawford, Iosco, Benzie, Ogemaw, Washtenaw, Cheboygan, Alpena, Delta, Houghton, Midland, Otsego, Dickinson, Manistee , Montmorency, Schoolcraft, Charlevoix, Mason, Baraga, Menominee, Antrim, Marquette, Lake, Gratiot, Chippewa, Iron, Leelanau, Mackinac and Keweenaw.

The graph below lets you search any county by name to see the seven-day average positivity rate from February 8 to 14. The graph has been modified to compare the average for the last seven days to the average for the previous week.

The interactive map below shows the seven-day average testing rate by county. You can hover your cursor over a county to see the underlying data.

New cases per capita

Another metric used by the Michigan Department of Health and Human Services to access coronavirus risk is daily new cases per capita.

This measure calculates the average number of new cases per 1 million inhabitants.

Levels for each county:

  • Level E (over 150 cases per million): Seven counties, highest to lowest: Gogebic, Keweenaw, Washtenaw, Wexford, Missaukee, Hillsdale and Houghton.
  • Level D (70 to 149 cases per million): 39 counties – Ontonagon, Sanilac, Mecosta, Ionia, Baraga, Lenawee, Kent, Newaygo, Ottawa, Huron, Ingham, Shiawassee, Berrien, Calhoun, Cass, Lapeer, Tuscola, Van Buren, Alcona, Allegan, Oceana, Grand Traverse, Emmet, Livingston, Osceola, St. Joseph, Eaton, Isabella, Saginaw, Montcalm, Jackson, Presque Isle, Cheboygan, Bay, Barry, Monroe, Clinton, Antrim and Muskegon.
  • Level C (40 to 69 cases per million): 22 counties – Macomb, Wayne, Arenac, Branch, Oakland, Alpena, Benzie, Kalkaska, Kalamazoo, Crawford, Clare, Delta, Roscommon, Manistee, Gladwin, Oscoda, Iron, Genesee , Sainte-Claire, Midland, Otsego and Mason.
  • Level B (20 to 40 cases per million) Nine counties: Marquette, Menominee, Ogemaw, Dickinson, Charlevoix, Gratiot, Lake, Luce and Iosco.
  • Level A (7 to 20 cases per million): Algiers, Montmorency, Mackinac, Leelanau and Chippewa.
  • Low (less than 7 cases per million): Schoolcraft.

Here is an online database that allows readers to see the number of new coronavirus cases in the past seven days compared to the previous week, as well as the number per capita that adjusts for the population. Arrows indicate whether the total number of new cases reported in the past seven days has increased or decreased from the previous seven days.

Current scores are based on new cases reported from February 9 to 15. The map below is shaded based on the six levels of state. Arrows indicate whether the total number of new cases reported in the past seven days has increased or decreased from February 2-8.

Readers can hover their cursor over a county to see the underlying data. (Tip: you can drag the map with your cursor to see the entire UP)

Below are online databases that allow readers to search county level data for each of the past 30 days.

Cases daily it was reported to the State

The first is a graph showing new cases reported to the state each day for the past 30 days. This is based on when a confirmed coronavirus test is reported to the state, which means the patient first became ill a few days ago.

You can call up a chart for any county and you can hover your cursor over a bar to see the date and number of cases.

(In a few cases, a county reported a negative (decrease) number of new daily cases, as a result of retroactive reclassification by the Michigan Department of Health and Human Services. In these cases, we subtracted the cases from the date previous and put 0 in the date of the report.)

The following graph below shows new cases over the past 30 days based on symptom onset. In this graph, numbers for the most recent days are incomplete due to the time lag between people getting sick and getting a confirmed coronavirus test result, which can take up to a week or more.

You can call up a chart for any county and you can hover your cursor over a bar to see the date and number of cases.

More localized maps

Below are two maps created by the EpiBayes research group at the University of Michigan Department of Epidemiology, which has access to sub-county data collected by the Michigan Department of Health and Human Services.

The interactive maps break down the state into 10-kilometer hexagons to provide a more localized overview of where coronavirus cases are occurring. You can Click here to access the research project website.

The first map examines confirmed and probable cases of the coronavirus over the past week. You can click on a hexagon to see the underlying data.

You can use the triangle button at the top right of the map to switch to the second map, which shows the total number of confirmed coronavirus cases and deaths since the start of the pandemic.

Latest daily report

As of Monday, February 15, the state reported 1,265 new cases of coronavirus and eight new deaths.

The map below shows the total number of confirmed coronavirus cases and deaths since the start of the pandemic. You can hover your cursor over a county to see the underlying numbers.

For more statewide data, visit MLive’s coronavirus data page, here. To find a testing site near you, visit the the state’s online test finder, here, email [email protected], or call 888-535-6136 between 8 a.m. and 5 p.m. on weekdays.

For more data on COVID-19 in Michigan, visit https://www.mlive.com/coronavirus/data/.

Learn more about MLive:

Michigan administers more than 1.5 million doses of COVID-19 vaccine

Mental health problems are on the rise in Michigan families during the pandemic. Here are their stories.

The psychological toll of the pandemic on our children

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